miércoles, 15 de diciembre de 2010

Elimina a un Team Pro JuegaPoker y gana Bs. 100

header

Estimado hugoroca,
Nos complace invitarte a participar en el:


Torneo *Knock-Out*
Bs. 3.000 ASEGURADOS!!!


Fecha:Miercoles,15 de Diciembre
Hora: 09:00 pm
Entrada: Bs. 30+10
ReBuys: 2
Minimo 45 Jugadores

Knock-Out


Torneo Especial MID-SUNDAY
Bs. 10.000 asegurados


Fecha: Domingo,19 de Diciembre
Hora: 09:00 pm
Entrada: Bs. 100+10
ReBUYS: 2
50 Jugadores Minimo
MedSunday_02
PARTICIPA EN LOS SATELITES PARA EL TORNEO DEL DOMINGO, LOS PUEDES ENCONTRAR CON EL NOMBRE
SAT MID SUNDAY, ENTRADA Bs. 0+11, 1
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lunes, 6 de diciembre de 2010

Jared Jaffee on Short-Stack Play:

Jared Jaffee

The shorter your stack, the more likely you are to get called. If you're playing in the right spot, it's not hard to find a double-up. Clearly you're going to have to pick up a hand, and you're going to have to hold up or hit the flop, but the point is that if you're super-short, getting that action is the easiest opportunity you'll have in that tournament. If people like to gamble or get their money in good, that is going to be your best opportunity to double the whole way. That gives you more incentive to pick and choose your battles, even when you're in a tough spot.

At the Wynn, for example, it was day 2 and I was down to four blinds at one point with 100 people left, and I went on to finish in second place in the tournament. I wasn't very confident at that point, but many people have come back from super-short stacks to win tournaments. That's the most important thing to remember when you play in these big tournaments. --
Jared Jaffee

domingo, 5 de diciembre de 2010

Tabla de probabilidad del Blackjack (21)

Carta del Casino

Tus 
cartas
 
2
 
3
 
4
 
5
 
6
 
7
 
8
 
9
 
10
 
A
1-8
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
H
9
H
D
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
10
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
H
H
11
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
H
12
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
13
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
14
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
15
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
16
S
S
S
S
S
H
H
H
H
H
17-21
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
A,2
H
H
H
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
A,3
H
H
H
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
A,4
H
H
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
A,5
H
H
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
A,6
H
D
D
D
D
H
H
H
H
H
A,7
S
D
D
D
D
S
S
H
H
H
A,8-9
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
2,2
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
H
H
H
H
3,3
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
H
H
H
H
4,4
H
H
H
Sp
Sp
H
H
H
H
H
5,5
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
D
H
H
6,6
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
H
H
H
H
H
7,7
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
H
H
H
H
8,8
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
9,9
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
S
Sp
Sp
S
S
10,10
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
S
A,A
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp
Sp



Cómo leer la tabla ?  

H = Hit,          es decir pedir una carta adicional (golpear)

S = Stand,    es decir quedarse como está (retener)

D = Doblar,  es decir duplicar su apuesta

Sp = Split,    es decir dividir su juego cuando tiene dos cartas iguales         

Por ejemplo :

Si el casino tiene 6 y Usted tiene 13, debe quedarse parado
Si el casino tiene 9 y Usted tiene 16, debe pedir una carta
Si el casino tiene 7 y Usted tiene 10, debe doblar su apuesta
Si el casino tiene 10 y Usted dos 8, debe dividir sus cartas

Esta tabla define la actuación más favorable en cada caso en función de las probabilidades.

Es un cálculo matemático preciso que le permitirá reducir la ventaja del casino al mínimo.   Para tener exito, debe hacer exactamente lo que dice la tabla, cada cambio tendrá por consecuencia de reducir sus probabilidades de ganar 

Sin embargo, no hace milagros.
Si tiene malas cartas, por ejemplo 16, lo más probable es que el casino gane esta mano.

La filosofía de esta tabla, es que cuando la carta visible del casino es mala (pequeña), debe tratar de duplicar sus apuestas, dividir sus cartas o quedarse parado porque lo más probable (pero no siempre) es que el casino se pase de 21. Por otro lado, si el casino tiene una buena carta, deberá tomar el riesgo de pasarse de 21 porque de lo contrario es muy probable que si se queda plantado perderá la mano.   Caso particular : solo se puede doblar apuesta en las primeras dos cartas, por lo tanto si tiene más de dos cartas, deberá pedir cartas en caso de que la tabla indica doblar.  Después de recibir una nueva carta, debera evaluar de nuevo la situación y actuar en función de lo que dice la tabla.    

lunes, 29 de noviembre de 2010

CURSO PERSONALIZADO Y PROFESIONAL DE TEXAS HOLD'EM POKER

Para recibir un curso personalizado y profesional de Texas Hold'em Poker, vía correo electrónico, contácteme a través de  cohetesyconsistencia@gmail.com,   o    cohycon@gmail.com 
TENEMOS LA MEJOR RESPUESTA A CUALQUIER PREGUNTA SOBRE TEXAS HOLD'EM POKER !

lunes, 22 de noviembre de 2010

El arte de saber renunciar

Amarillo Slim dijo una vez, "Si no sabes retirarte con la mejor mano, no sabes jugar". El arte de saber renunciar está desapareciendo en el poker. Se debe a dos razones. Primeramente, los jugadores ahora son mucho más sueltos y agresivos que antes. Significa que a veces está bien igualar a otros jugadores con manos insignificantes. La segunda razón es el Internet. Es muy fácil igualar con solo hacer clic en el ratón, y aún más fácil perderse en el momento que calcular si nos han derrotado.

No obstante, saber renunciar es de suma importancia para ganar, sea cual sea su estilo de jugador.


Cuando digo renunciar me refiero a retirarse con una mano que tiene algo de valor.
No perderá más retirándose con A-K si alguien le vuelve a subir tras un flop del tipo 9-8-7. Me refiero a retirarse con manos que podrían ganar, pero a las que también se puede derrotar.

Tomar la decisión de renunciar es difícil ya que a nadie le gusta pensar que se retira con una mano ganadora.
Por lo que cuantas más veces pueda leer las manos y las probabilidades del bote para tomar la decisión más adecuada más a menudo podrá evitar perder con lo que ganará mucho más dinero a largo plazo.

domingo, 21 de noviembre de 2010

Winning Poker Lessons From Warren Buffett

Warren Buffett is one smart dude. And RICH.

He's the second richest man in the WORLD... right behind
Bill Gates. Forbes estimates that his net worth is $40
BILLION.

(How's THAT for a bankroll?)

What's interesting about Buffett is that he made his fortune
over a LONGGG period of time... by consistently beating the
stock market year after year after year.

He wasn't one of those "overnight" dot-com billionaires.

He wasn't "lucky" to be in the right place at the right
time.

He didn't "invent" some new technology that changed the
world.

Nope... all he did was invest and "pick winners" over and
over. Since taking control of Berkshire 40 years ago,
Buffett has delivered a compound annual return of 22%.

AND JUST BY DOING THAT, he became the 2nd richest man alive.

OK-- so why am I rambling on about 75-year old man who's
good at investing?

The reason is because I've realized that there are DOZENS of
important parallels between the STOCK MARKET and POKER.

Here are just a few:

* The stock market is often considered "gambling", due to
its unpredictable nature... just as POKER is often
considered gambling, even though it's a SKILL game.

* The stock market has a heavy emphasis on odds and
mathematics... just like poker.

* The stock market is predominately a male-driven
industry... just like poker.

* The stock market has PLENTY of up's and down's, and
"streaks"... just like poker.

* And so on.

Of course, these are "surface" similarities.

Now think about the PSYCHOLOGY of poker and the stock
market... and how they're often EXACTLY THE SAME:

* In the stock market, everyone dreams of buying that one
MIRACLE STOCK that will go from $2 to $200 and make them
rich...

In poker, everyone has their "pipe dream" of winning a huge
million-dollar tournament on ESPN.

* When a stock tanks, most investors FREAK OUT and
immediately make several bad investment decisions in a row.
It's usually THESE decisions that hurt them the most.

In poker, this is known as "tilt". Bad beats cause some
damage... but it's usually the decisions you make AFTER the
bad beats that cause you to lose the game.

* Believe it or not, most stock investors come out on the
LOSING END over time... even though the market has
historically gone UP year after year.

Most poker players end up losing over time also, despite all
the "fish" out there to prey on.

* And so on.

OK, so you get the idea.

Lately I've been reading a lot of books about the stock
market... and especially about Warren Buffett. (Hell, I need
somewhere to invest all these poker winnings!)

Anyway, here's what's REALLY interesting:

Warren Buffett's INVESTMENT APPROACH is almost identical to
the POKER STRATEGY I use every day.

And it's the SAME approach used by top poker pros to
consistently win tournaments and ring games...

Interesting, huh?

Of course, it makes sense when you think about it.

If poker and investing are similar, then the guys who beat
the STOCK MARKET probably use the same techniques as the
guys who win at POKER.

And who better to learn poker from than the "KING" of the
stock market... and the 2nd richest man in the world?

*** WARREN BUFFETT'S WINNING APPROACH ***

Warren Buffett operates on PRINCIPLES. He doesn't get caught
up in "hype" or emotion.

Below are the five MOST IMPORTANT principles that he
follows... and how they relate to your poker game.

PRINCIPLE 1: PATIENCE IS KEY.

Patience, patience, patience!

It's the number one mistake that causes most poker players
to lose... and it's one of the "secrets" to Buffett's 22%
annual returns.

Warren Buffett does not make an investment unless he is
absolutely 100% confident that it will make him money.

That means he PASSES UP a lot of great investment
opportunities.

Warren Buffett has said "no" to stocks that ended up
increasing by 10,000%!

But more importantly... he's passed up all those other
stocks that LOOKED GOOD, but PLUMMETED later.

The problem is, us human beings are addicted to ACTION and
MOVEMENT and EXCITEMENT. We don't want to just sit around
and WAIT.

But that's EXACTLY what Buffett does...

He waits.

And waits.

And waits.

He KNOWS that sooner or later, a GREAT opportunity will come
up... and then he'll jump on it.

It's the same way with poker.

You've GOT to be patient. We all want to "get in there" and
make strong bets... bluff out opponents... and take down
lots of pots. We want ACTION.

BUT THAT'S NOT HOW YOU DO IT.

You've got to sit back... be patient... and WAIT.

Wait for good cards.

Wait for the PERFECT time to bust the manic at the table.

Wait for the PERFECT time to steal the blinds.

Wait for the PERFECT time to bluff out an opponent.

Wait for the PERFECT time to go all-in.

And then when you DO make a move...

PRINCIPLE 2: MAINTAIN A "LOW TURNOVER" PORTFOLIO OF JUST A
FEW STOCKS.

Buffett insists on keeping 10-20% turnover with his
portfolio. This means he generally holds onto a stock for
5-10 years... AT LEAST.

This is obviously OPPOSITE of how most investors do it. Most
investors are checking the tickers every HOUR-- watching for
the slightest indication of movement or news.

More importantly... Buffett only invests in a FEW STOCKS AT
A TIME.

Now THIS is crucial, because it goes against everything
you've ever learned.

Growing up, you probably heard this advice a lot:

"Never put all your eggs in one basket."

Right?

Well, Warren Buffett does the OPPOSITE.

He puts all his eggs in one basket... but... he chooses that
basket VERY CAREFULLY!

You see, Buffett believes that if you've done your homework
and you're confident in your decision, there's NO NEED to
"diversify".

In fact, he believes this is the ONLY REAL WAY to get rich
in the stock market. Because if you buy LOTS of stocks, some
are doomed to go down... and that will hurt your gains.

Now think how this relates to poker.

In poker, most players risk money on LOTS of pots, and try
to get the best odds for each one... maybe 55%, 60%, and the
OCCASIONAL 70% or higher.

What PROFESSIONAL poker players do is only play those
OCCASIONAL pots with the best odds.

BUT, they risk more chips when they do it...

So instead of risking 20% of your chip stack five times...
you want to risk 90% of your chip stack ONE time. But you
choose that time VERY CAREFULLY!

For instance, let's say the "average" poker player enters
three pots where he feels the odds are in his favor.

The three pots go like this:

1.) He risks 1000 in chips with 60% odds.
2.) He risks 1000 in chips with 50% odds.
3.) He risks 1000 in chips with 60% odds.

Now... MATHEMATICALLY speaking... there are EIGHT different
ways these scenarios can go. They are as follows (a win is
designated with "W" and a loss with "L"):

1.) W-W-W
2.) W-W-L
3.) W-L-W
4.) W-L-L
5.) L-W-W
6.) L-W-L
7.) L-L-W
8.) L-L-L

If he wins all three, he ends up with 3000 chips in profit.

If he wins two but loses one, he ends up with just 1000
chips in profit.

If he LOSES two but wins one, he ends up with 1000 chips in
losses.

And he if loses all three, he loses 3000 chips total.

Get it?

Now let me share with you the PERCENTAGES of the above
scenarios.

Watch out, this may surprise you.

If you were to play three pots as described above and risk
1000 chips for each one, and do this exercise 100 times,
here's what would happen:

18% of the time you'd win 3,000 chips total.
42% of the time you'd win 1,000 chips total.
32% of the time you'd lose 1,000 chips total.
8% of the time you'd lose 3,000 chips total.

Your "net average" would be to PROFIT 400 CHIPS.

OK... that's the "normal" approach.

Now let's look at the WARREN BUFFETT approach.

Let's say you entered just ONE pot and risked 3000 chips
(instead of 1000) with 70% odds in your favor.

Now watch what happens:

70% of the time you'd win 3,000 chips total.
30% of the time you'd lose 3,000 chips total.

Your "net average" would be to PROFIT 1200 CHIPS.

That's TRIPLE the results over time!

The key is to get BETTER ODDS and RISK MORE.

I better interject here that I do NOT recommend being one of
those players who just sits back, waits for the "nuts", and
then goes all-in.

Not even close.

In fact, if you've read my newsletters you know that I'm a
very aggressive player who loves to push action.

The KEY is that I BUILD THIS IMAGE through techniques based
on feeler bets, positioning, and sensing weakness.

AND WHEN THE RIGHT OPPORTUNITY COMES ALONG, I RISK AS MANY
CHIPS AS I CAN!

I know that when the odds are heavily in my favor, it's time
to put my eggs in one basket and go for it...

PRINCIPLE 3: THE STOCK MARKET IS NOT ALWAYS RATIONAL OR
"EFFICIENT".

There's a popular stock market concept called, "Efficient
Market Theory" (EMT).

Most of the world's leading business schools teach this
widely-accepted concept.

However...

Warren Buffett says that the EMT is a bunch of hogwash!

He's actually gone on record saying that part of him LOVES
the fact that business schools teach this theory: It makes
things easier on him because his competition doesn't know
what they're doing!

Now... I'm not going to argue whether the theory is right or
wrong. It doesn't matter for our discussion here.

What I find intriguing is what Buffett believes IS true
about the stock market...

You see, the EMT basically says that the stock market is
"efficient" in its pricing... and that most buy/sell
behavior is "rational".

Buffett disagrees. He is CONSTANTLY scouting for
opportunities where he thinks the market is acting in an
IRRATIONAL manner... and then he jumps on the chance to buy
an under-priced stock.

In other words, a core part of his investment philosophy is
that the stock market is NOT efficient... and that there's
always room to grow your "bankroll" when others act
irrationally.

It's the same with poker.

When you're playing Texas Holdem, you want to spot the
"sucker" at the table... the guy who is making IRRATIONAL
decisions.

This doesn't only apply to amateurs, either. Even PROS have
"irrational" habits, tells, and "tilt" behavior.

Your OPPONENTS will open up millions of "profit
opportunities" for you... if you just watch closely.

And that brings us to the next principle:

PRINCIPLE 4: FOCUS ON THE VALUE OF THE BUSINESS, NOT THE
PRICE OF THE STOCK.

This one has almost a direct translation to poker:

FOCUS ON THE PLAYERS, NOT THE CARDS.

You're not playing poker against the house... you're playing
against your opponents.

With the stock market, everyone is always looking at the
PRICE of a stock to determine if it's worth buying or
selling.

Buffett actually doesn't even look at the price until LAST.
What he looks at is the VALUE OF THE BUSINESS.

He only invests in top-notch businesses that meet specific
conditions. He wants a business with strong growth prospects
LONG TERM, good management, and stable numbers.

Once he finds a business that meets these criteria, THEN he
looks at the price.

When the cards come out, what's the first thing you're
thinking about? What are you looking at?

You should be thinking about your OPPONENTS... the
POSITIONING at the table... the BETTING HABITS you've picked
up in the last few hands... and your opponents' FACES as
they look at their cards.

THEN when the action comes to you and it's YOUR TURN, you
should peek to see what you're holding.

Opponents first, cards second.

PRINCIPLE 5: DEMAND A MARGIN OF SAFETY FOR EVERY PURCHASE.

Warren Buffett is actually a very "conservative" investor,
as are most poker professionals. He'll only buy stocks that
he feels are practically "guaranteed" to go up.

You should demand a "margin of safety" on every hand you
play. This is actually much easier than it sounds.

Some of your tactics should include:

* Avoiding heads-up situations with players who have more
chips, and instead favoring those with fewer chips. (That
way if you go all-in and lose, you can still be in the
game.)

* Buying pots and bluffing when you have good positioning.
(That way you can get a read on your opponent and escape if
things go bad.)

* Only "chasing" draws when the pot odds are CONSIDERABLY in
your favor. (That way you end up way ahead over time.)

* And so on.

*** PLAY POKER LIKE WARREN BUFFETT ***

Perhaps the MOST IMPORTANT lesson I've learned from Warren
Buffett is to NEVER FEAR doing the "unpopular" thing.

His career PROVES that "going against the grain" is often
the BEST choice.

He doesn't live by what others do... he operates on GUIDING
PRINCIPLES that "win" over time.

Whether it's ways to leverage table positioning, tactics for
defeating common opponent styles, techniques for "stealing
the button", or figuring out the right times to bluff...

...You've got to first learn the POKER PRINCIPLES. And then
you need the GUTS and DISCIPLINE to stick to them.

miércoles, 10 de noviembre de 2010

Joseph Cheong's es eliminado y queda 3ro en la WSOP final table

Mano Final JONATHAN DUHAMEL CHAMPION! VS RACENER!! WSOP 2010 MAIN EVEN...

WSOP 2010 APERTURA DE LA MESA FINAL

Invitación personal de hugo roca

Si no puedes pulsar los enlaces, pulsa « Mostrar el contenido » e inténtalo de nuevo.
Correo-electrónico enviado el 11/10/2010 10:10:22 AM, por hugo roca:
Invitación personal de hugo roca
Buenos días,



¡Imagínate que un día yo cambio mi dirección electrónica... y que automáticamente, sin necesidad de informarte, mi nueva dirección se inscribe en tu libreta de direcciones! ¡Ahora es posible!

UNYK es una herramienta ultra eficaz que te permite administrar todos tus contactos de manera segura y con una facilidad inigualable.

Tan pronto como uno de tus contactos modifica sus datos, tu libreta se actualiza automáticamente. Y viceversa. Desde ahora, con UNYK los únicos datos que debes actualizar son los tuyos.

¿Puedo agregar tu nombre a mis contactos? ¡Para aceptar, pulsa aquí!

Tú también podrás montar tu propia libreta de direcciones inteligente.

Es fácil, gratuito y 100 % seguro.
hugo roca
UNYK : ZUT 535
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No respondas directamente a este mensaje electrónico. ¿Tienes preguntas? Contáctanos en - http://unyk.com/es/Contactar-el-equipo-UNYK
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Ya no quiero recibir más invitaciones para utilizar UNYK por parte de hugo roca : desinscribirme

Ya no deseo recibir más invitaciones a utilizar UNYK : desinscribirme